Quick And Shallow Polling Thoughts

I’m too lazy to even link much.

1.  Romney has lost is lead in the RCP head-to-head poll average.  Obama is ahead by .1% so call it a tie.  Obama’s job approval is just about 50%.  Obama is leading in most but not all of the swing state polls.

2.  Ross Douthat explains why the differences between the state polls that have leaned Obama and the national polls that have leaned slightly Romney are using different turnout models.

3.  Karl Rove is predicting a 3% Romney plurality in that national popular vote.  If it was Dick Morris I would just dismiss it as an attention getting stunt from a guy who makes his living reassuring and fundraising from right-leaning voters and knowing he will still get bookings regardless of whether he is right in the end.  Rove plays the reassuring game too, but I think it is more important to his brand to get the election day call right.  It is the difference between being a television commenter and a television clown.  There is a reason why Fox News doesn’t put Morris on when Chris Wallace or Bret Baier are doing serious political news coverage.  So there’s that.