Depressing from Henry Olsen. It becomes only slightly less depressing if Romney pulls out a narrow win. Update: I do think that Olsen is a teensy bit too pessimistic. My totally unscientific, gut instinct, just-talking-to-people sense is that Scott Brown will win tomorrow. . . . . Continue Reading »
1. Romney will win by a landslide - in the demographic America of 1980. I don’t know what happens in the country we’re actually living in. My guess is a narrow Obama win but I wouldn’t bet my own money on it. 2. Ross Douthat wrote a terrific (and fair!) appreciation of Romney. . . . . Continue Reading »
So here is the RCP link and now for a few quick thoughts, 1. Obama has pulled ahead by .4% in the RCP head-to-head polling average. 2. Obama’s average job approval rating is 49.9%. So I ask one more time, which group is likely to be larger, Obama approvers who vote for . . . . Continue Reading »
I’m too lazy to even link much. 1. Romney has lost is lead in the RCP head-to-head poll average. Obama is ahead by .1% so call it a tie. Obama’s job approval is just about 50%. Obama is leading in most but not all of the swing state polls. 2. Ross Douthat . . . . Continue Reading »
Daniel Henninger is not the only columnist to note what the president has done to motivate evangelical Christians in this year’s election, but I like the way he writes about it. ” Romney’s Secret Voting Bloc ” is something of a miracle. “There and in other . . . . Continue Reading »
1. Ramesh Ponnuru makes a realistic and thoughtful case for Romney. I would add that I don’t for a second trust Romney’s instincts on judicial appointments. If he becomes President, Romney will already have plenty of fights with the left-of-center related to the related issues of the . . . . Continue Reading »
1. So Romney is still up by .8% in the RCP head-to-head, but Obama’s average job approval has rebounded to 49.7% from its weekend low of around 48%. So we’re back to wondering if the remaining undecideds will break in the direction of the challenger or the direction of the . . . . Continue Reading »
I am not presenting much new about the election and the political scientists here have far more information than I do, by profession. However, observing the political scene and responding to the recent posts here, I feel compelled to weigh in. I believe Romney is winning the . . . . Continue Reading »
1. Romney has reached the arbitrary but psychologically significant (for me and maybe only for me) lead of 1% in then RCP average. That is his biggest lead since October 13. More importantly, Obama’s average job approval is down to 48.3% . That is the lowest his job approval has been since . . . . Continue Reading »
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