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Good Advice for Mitt (from Larry Sabato)

From First Thoughts

In addition, Romney needs a partner on the campaign trail — arguably a lot more than most nominees-in-waiting in recent decades. No, not his wife Ann, but a strong, qualified vice-presidential pick to energize him and broaden his appeal. Romney should consider flouting conventional wisdom and . . . . Continue Reading »

A Good Enough Night for Mitt

From First Thoughts

1. It looks like Romney’s win is going to be double-digit but not overwhelming. Illinois, after all, is a very suburban and not all that evangelical a state. Very low turnout. Santorum did a bit worse in every demographic category than he did in Ohio. Most notably, Romney had a significantly . . . . Continue Reading »

Monday Morning

From First Thoughts

1. Sorry to have been silent for a while. I’ll say stuff about the status of the Science of Virtues and all that soon. Meanwhile, you do need to pray for Jean Elshtain. She suffered a “silent” heart attack that did her heart significant damage. She’s in good spirits and did . . . . Continue Reading »

A Weak Day for Mitt

From First Thoughts

1. Romney came in on the very low side of what the polls predicted—and in third (if barely) twice. He remains stuck in the very high 20s. The late-deciders broke for Santorum, and the turnout in the pro-Romney affluent suburbs in both AL and MS was low. 2. Newt’s showing was ambiguous . . . . Continue Reading »

Tuesday Morning

From First Thoughts

1. It will be a victory for Romney if he gets significantly more than 30% of the vote in AL or MS. I have my doubts. 2. Sean Trende is explaining on RCP than in the Republican primaries DEMOGRAPHY is trumping MOMENTUM. I could quibble with the details of Sean’s social science, but the basic . . . . Continue Reading »