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All Honor to Mitt Romney

From First Thoughts

. . . for picking a VP nominee who might be a “game changer” on the level of ideas. Let’s face it: Romney was tanking. It wasn’t “Hail Mary” time, but he had no offense and he defense was leaky. The cautious approach wasn’t working. Om the other hand, the . . . . Continue Reading »

More Comparative Analysis: 2012 and 1964

From First Thoughts

According to Jay Cost , Obama is following LBJ’s winning strategy: The 1964 election is particularly important to understanding the 2012 campaign. I have argued in the past that, bereft of popular legislative achievements, a sound economy, or a manageable deficit, President Obama is left . . . . Continue Reading »

1992 or 1996? More Comparative Studies

From First Thoughts

First off, we notice that Pete’s contributions are being taken quite seriously on the ELECTION CENTRAL blog. Not only that, one of the threaders gave us two more comparisons: Why 1980 and 2004? How could anyone compare Obama to Carter and Bush? A better pair of years are 1992 and 1996. In . . . . Continue Reading »

Romney IS Losing

From First Thoughts

With Kate and Gene throwing money around in the thread of the post below, I decided really to turn to the studies to figure out whether or not Romney is losing. He is. If the election were held tomorrow, it is very likely he would lose most of the swing states. The popular vote would be fairly . . . . Continue Reading »

I Said “Cautious Romney” Won’t Win.

From First Thoughts

The strategy of Romney from Iowa onward so effectively mocked by Pete isn’t going to cut it. Romney is campaigning as if the election is his to lose, but in fact no study backs him up on that. The election has to be a referendum on the incumbent for Romney to have a real chance: Obama has to . . . . Continue Reading »

Cruz and McDonnell

From First Thoughts

So we have the two best posts in the entire land on the merits of these two reasonable hopes for the Republican future. John is right that Cruz is a highly accomplished legal scholar and, I can add, a former student of Robby George that Robby is bragging about. He will be a key piece of evidence a . . . . Continue Reading »