Peter Lawler

Thanks to CJ for giving us the link to the Bessette/Pitney textbook prediction. Basically: A narrow Obama victory both popular and electoral, with the not-that-good possibility of a Romney PA victory tipping the balance the other way. I won’t, of course, be making any predictions myself. . . . . Continue Reading »

So Flagg Taylor of RICOCHET fame writes in response to my dissing of his very pro-Romney election prediction: I love that I am now lumped in with Mr. Barone. The only way most of these state polls can be accurate is if the electorate looks like it did in 2008. I’m betting more like 2010. And . . . . Continue Reading »

I do think that Flagg at RICOCHET and Michael Barone at THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER are at the outer limits of credibility. The new PEW poll has Obama up three, and with a larger lead than that when it comes to strong supporters. The poll makes the true point that strong support is usually the best . . . . Continue Reading »

BIG THOUGHTS HERE . . . . Continue Reading »

So this morning we have major state newspaper polls reporting from OH and PA. At the end of the day, we know that if Romney carries one of those two states, he has a good chance of winning—but no lock. If he carries them both, he will lock it down. If he loses them both, you have to be a . . . . Continue Reading »

Next Thursday (Nov 8) at 7pm in THE EVANS HALL AUDITORIUM. Two great teachers and leading scholars face off: Michael Debow of Samford Law School and David Ryden of Hope College. The immediate question: Did the Supreme Court rule correctly? (A question we can still ask, because the Constitution is . . . . Continue Reading »

For an authentically Mormon response to what I said at BYU. . . . . Continue Reading »

HERE . . . . Continue Reading »

And some tough comments on the vacuity of Romney’s campaign and the pandering of the president’s: The nature of the 2012 campaign poses an additional difficulty. I cannot remember an election in which the gap was greater between the magnitude of our problems and the substance of our . . . . Continue Reading »

1. Our Ralph had a couple of minor strokes that don’t seem to have had any permanent effect on him. Apparently he had one in the middle of our conference and carried on with perfect hospitality for the rest of the day. I got an email from him this morning full of vertical and horizontal . . . . Continue Reading »